Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the Artemis 2 mission returns to Earth and successfully splashes down within the original mission parameters of approximately 10 days, or on the specific date defined by NASA as the completion of the flight test mission. It resolves to NO if the mission duration is significantly extended beyond the planned schedule due to unforeseen technical difficulties, safety concerns, or other mission-critical anomalies that prevent an on-schedule return, or if the mission fails to return the crew safely.

Official mission status and resolution will be determined by updates from NASA's official Artemis 2 mission page and confirmed via reporting from major space news outlets such as Space.com or The Planetary Society.

Background

The Artemis 2 mission, which launched on April 1, 2026, is the first crewed flight of NASA's Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft. The mission is designed as a test flight to validate critical life-support and navigation systems required for future crewed lunar landings. The flight plan encompasses a approximately 10-day trajectory around the Moon and back to Earth. As a test mission, it carries higher operational risks compared to established launch programs, and the crew's return is the final major milestone of this flight test.

This description was generated by AI.