December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM Pacific Time (PT)

 is no longer the governing regime of Iran.

This includes scenarios in which the regime is 

overthrown, collapses, or otherwise ceases to govern

 replaces it. Qualifying scenarios may include:

broad consensus among credible international media

—have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced, and that the regime has 

lost sovereign authority over the majority of the population within Iran

 A Syrian civil war-style scenario where the regime still exists but no longer controls the entire country would resolve 

, because the regime institutions remain intact even if territorial control is reduced.