Will the majority of participants believe they are smarter than AI?
Basic
12
Ṁ180resolved Apr 2
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Join the debate on human intelligence versus artificial intelligence! Share your perspective on whether you believe the majority of participants are smarter than AI. Place your bets on whether the majority will lean towards 'Yes' or 'No' in this thought-provoking market. Your participation helps shape our understanding of human cognition and technology. Let's explore the boundaries of intelligence together!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@duck_master Thank you for catching that. This is my first question on manifold. I've modified the question and description to be resolvable.
Related questions
Related questions
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
45% chance
If there exists a super-intelligent AI, would majority of AI researchers answer Yes to "Have we reached AGI?" ?
55% chance
At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
66% chance
Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will >60% of EAs believe that "Pause AI" protests have been net positive in 2030?
24% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
92% chance
Will AI top level capabilities generally be judged by question and answer benchmarks in 2029?
25% chance
At the beginning of 2027, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
69% chance
Will I believe any AI system is conscious before 2027?
48% chance