Will AI top level capabilities generally be judged by question and answer benchmarks in 2029?
Basic
8
Ṁ1652029
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
42% chance
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
52% chance
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024?
🐕 Will Any AI Effectively Achieve Higher than Human Level Reasoning Through Common Sense Questions, By 2024 End?
37% chance
Will an AI agent system be able to score at least 40% on level 3 tasks in the GAIA benchmark before 2025.
27% chance
🐕 Will Any AI Effectively Achieve Higher Than Human Level at Answering Multiple Choice, Grounded Situations (EO 2024)?
22% chance
🐕 Will AI Be Able to Understand the, "Meaning" of Questions Significantly Better By the End of 2024?
46% chance
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
69% chance
Will AI beat the best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2024?
7% chance