Will AI top level capabilities generally be judged by question and answer benchmarks in 2029? | Manifold

Will AI top level capabilities generally be judged by question and answer benchmarks in 2029?

8

Ṁ210Ṁ200

2029

29%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From https://nunosempere.com/blog/2023/12/06/long-list-ai-questions/

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