Will George R. R. Martin's next "Not a Blog" post mention "The Winds of Winter"?
2
1kṀ752026
51%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve "yes" if he mentions "The Winds of Winter" by name, by the abbreviation "TWOW" or even simply "Winds" (referring to the upcoming book).
Alluding to a future installment/mentioning ASOIAF alone is not enough to resolve "yes".
(previous "Not a Blog" post was October 7, 2025)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
45% chance
Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?
30% chance
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
85% chance
When will the Winds of Winter be released
4/9/28
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive
48% chance
Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?
48% chance
When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2026?
1% chance
When will AI write a widely read version of The Winds of Winter - GOT Book 6?