Will George R. R. Martin's next "Not a Blog" post mention "The Winds of Winter"?
12
1kṀ1259resolved Nov 10
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve "yes" if he mentions "The Winds of Winter" by name, by the abbreviation "TWOW" or even simply "Winds" (referring to the upcoming book).
Alluding to a future installment/mentioning ASOIAF alone is not enough to resolve "yes".
(previous "Not a Blog" post was October 7, 2025)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ496 | |
| 2 | Ṁ26 | |
| 3 | Ṁ25 | |
| 4 | Ṁ13 | |
| 5 | Ṁ12 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will George R. R. Martin's next "Not a Blog" post mention "The Winds of Winter"?
23% chance
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
50% chance
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?
30% chance
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
88% chance
Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?
46% chance
Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2026?
1% chance
When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive
48% chance
When will the Winds of Winter be released
4/7/28