
Will George R. R. Martin's next "Not a Blog" post mention "The Winds of Winter"?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ259Dec 30
32%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve "yes" if "THE WINDS OF WINTER" is mentioned by name, by the abbreviation "TWOW" or even simply "WINDS" (referring to the upcoming book).
Alluding to a future installment/mentioning ASOIAF alone is not enough to resolve "yes".
(previous "Not a Blog" post was February 12, 2026)
🔥 Current streak: 15 consecutive posts did NOT mention TWOW

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
46% chance
Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive
46% chance
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?
40% chance
When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
When will the Winds of Winter be released
3/27/29
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
88% chance
When will AI write a widely read version of The Winds of Winter - GOT Book 6?
What will be the next book/story in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” universe released by George R. R. Martin (in his life)?
Who will be the Prologue POV character in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?