Resolution criteria:
This question resolves yes if Donald J. Trump suggests jokingly or seriously himself as the next pope (after Francis). Speeches, interview or a post on social media qualify.
Resolves 4 weeks after a new pope is announced.
I will not trade in this market to stay objective.
Update 2025-04-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Verified Sources Update:
Only evidence from verified sources (e.g., official announcements, verified social media accounts) will be considered in determining whether Trump has suggested himself as the next pope.
This applies to all qualifying evidence such as speeches, interviews, or social media posts.
1,000π Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ1,240 | |
| 2 | αΉ1,087 | |
| 3 | αΉ941 | |
| 4 | αΉ337 | |
| 5 | αΉ334 |
People are also trading
@tobiasscheuer Looks like you could have made a market "Trump suggests himself as next Pope twice?" or "Trump suggests himself as next Pope a second time?"β¦ π
@4fa "If someone other than Donald Trump is named the new pope, will Trump complain that it should have been him?"
@Simon74fe More ideas:
"Will Trump start referring to himself as the current pope after the next pope is chosen even if it's not him?"
"Will Trump refer to an executive order as a Papal bull?"
"Will Trump insist someone refers to him as His Holiness?"
"Will Trump wear Papal attire IRL (not AI images)?"
"Will Trump attempt to call a crusade?"
@TheAllMemeingEye the fact that Manifold even had a market on this speaks to the immense greatness of this platform to me π€£
@Panfilo "I will not bet in this market, but I will personally tell God what bets you people make." ππ
@SimoneRomeo Trump's in the news for ridiculous statements all the time, this one was not that far fetched when pope Francis passed away. π
https://news.sky.com/video/donald-trump-jokes-he-should-be-selected-as-new-pontiff-13358342
As per multiple news sources as well. Resolves YES