Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will the Pope run for president in ... ?
8
Ṁ1kṀ2.7k
2044
4%
2028
8%
2032
8%
2036
9%
2040
9%
2044
7%
2048

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve "Yes" for a specific election year option if Pope Leo XIV formally registers as a candidate for the office of President of the United States with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

Context

If Leo XIV (born Robert Prevost in Chicago, 1955) resigned, returned to the US, and ran (e.g., in 2028), he meets Article II requirements (natural-born citizen, 35+, 14-year residency). No precedent exists, but it’s legally possible post-resignation.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

This would be a very bad thing.