Context. Italy crashed out of qualifying for the World Cup. Does narrative causality dictate the next pope is going to be Italian?

Resolution Criteria. I will be liberal in interpreting what counts as Italian. At least one italian grandparent counts, but not recursively. Having been an immigrant to Italy for over three years at time of enthronement counts. Having been born in Italy or dependencies counts. Being part of an ethnic italian immigrant culture in another country will count on a cases by case basis, but liberally. Ask about particular cardinals, monks, or other papabiles you have in mind.