Donald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?

Question

If Donald Trump ever serves as a figure that I personally consider to be a Pope, Antipope, Pseudopope, or Funko Pope, then this market resolves Yes.

For ambiguous cases, this must be a new role invented explicitly or obviously for Trump; it's not enough to point out that some evangelical church has previousy said they consider him a prophet. The role must have a title and Trump must either formally fulfill or verbally accept the title. Once accepted, the title need only have one obligation that Trump fulfills before I resolve Yes. It can be a special prayer meeting that he attends as Pope, a special hat he gets to wear, or any other symbolic gesture beyond the title itself.

Or, if Trump ever denounces the catholic church/current Pope while in Avignon, France, this market will imemediately resolve Yes. I will not bet in this market, but I will personally tell God what bets you people make.

Update 2025-05-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The creator confirms that a specific path to Yes is:

A title containing "Pope" is created for Trump.

Trump accepts the title.

Trump performs at least one activity linked to that title.

The creator clarifies that the first sentence of the description ("If Donald Trump ever serves as a figure that I personally consider to be a Pope, Antipope, Pseudopope, or Funko Pope...") allows for a broader interpretation.

A situation could resolve Yes if the creator finds it "very persuasive on its face" based on that first sentence, even if a title does not include the word "Pope" or meet all the specific criteria outlined for ambiguous cases (title, acceptance, obligation).

Update 2025-05-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided an update regarding the "Funko Pope" criterion mentioned in the first sentence of the market description:

If this criterion is considered in the context of an action figure (which the creator states is a type of "figure"), that action figure must be official.

Update 2025-11-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The BBC article about Trump being referred to as a "spiritual father" and receiving religious reverence was the event that inspired the creation of this market. The creator is curious if anything beyond this initial event will happen. This suggests that the initial BBC article event alone is not sufficient to resolve the market YES.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 9% chance (30 traders, as of Apr 16, 2026).