Will Bashkortostan secede from the Russian Federation before the end of 2028?
Plus
25
Ṁ15362028
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Also resolves as yes if Russian Federation ceases to exist.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
By the end of 2024, will Ukraine still hold any of the Russian territory it currently holds?
83% chance
Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
26% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
49% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2028?
45% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2028?
46% chance
Will Russia be broken up by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will the territorial unity of the Russian Federation fragment into two or more sovereign nations before 2026?
17% chance
Will any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030
19% chance
Will the entirety of the currently designated Kaliningrad Oblast still be administered by Russia at the end of 2028?
82% chance
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
17% chance