More likely to resolve YES if:

Russian officals control the borders into and out of ukraine

The ukrainian government no longer exists

The ukrainian government exists only in exile

Wikipedia articles about the war say that it is over and say that russias victory was decisive

More likely to resolves NO if:

The situation is largely similar to today or more favorable for ukraine

The government of Ukraine still controls some territory inside ukraine

some group other than the government of Russia controls more than 20% of the land area of ukraine

This is a duplicate of this question with a longer close date: