Will Russia break up through 2025
23
1kṀ7613resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There should be an independent government in at least a region of Russia with at least 5m people which is diplomatically recognized as an independent country by the UN or at least 20 countries which exist as market creation time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ96 | |
| 2 | Ṁ90 | |
| 3 | Ṁ37 | |
| 4 | Ṁ21 | |
| 5 | Ṁ18 |
Sort by:
@JohnSmithb9be no, basing this on officially internationally recognized current Russian borders as of market creation.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
18% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
1% chance
Will any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030
16% chance
Will Russia Exist in 2040?
94% chance
Will Russia have gone through an economic depression by EOY 2045?
87% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
38% chance
Russia collapses before 2030
13% chance