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MANIFOLD
Will Trump get impeached by the House and Senate before the end of his 2nd term?
27
Ṁ100Ṁ637
2029
12%
chance

  • Update 2025-03-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Key Resolution Update:

    • A 'Yes' outcome requires that, in addition to a House impeachment vote, the Senate reaches a two-thirds majority vote during the impeachment trial.

  • Update 2026-10-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * If Donald Trump dies or retires before being impeached, the market will resolve No (and will not resolve to N/A).

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You will not N/A this if he leaves office by another route, right?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen if he dies this resolves no since he cant be impeached
if he retires it also resolves no

This means the two-third Senate majority is reached?

@Siebe yes

filled a Ṁ5 YES at 43% order

House and senate — does this mean he has to be indicted, too?

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