Will there be another Manifest conference held in 2025?
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48
4.7k
2026
85%
chance

NA or 50% if they run another in 2024 instead

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@strutheo looks like wrong close date?

James bet no :(

@strutheo maybe he's planning another one for this year 😅

@Joshua should I just.make this one "another held in 2025" and avoid the number nonsense

@Joshua on the one hand, there are many reasons to expect there might not be a manifest in 2025 (timing, finances, lighthaven, etc), & james knows that as well as anyone.

OTOH, the golden rule is to inverse all bets made by manifold staff about the future of manifold, so this is a bullish signal imo

2 traders bought Ṁ15 YES

@strutheo people be trying out for genie law school or something

what if the 3rd manifest is held in 2024? (not trying to be too pedantic here, the last manifest was ~9 months ago so you could imagine them deciding it becomes an every 6-9 months thing)

na/ 50 percent idk

@strutheo I agree with @Ziddletwix, would be nice if you could clarify. I mean, just write it in the description, but your answer is pretty useless for traders and keep people (aka me 🙃) away from trading on your question.

@Lion added to description

@strutheo Thanks

reposted

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