Will police in the usa kill more people in 2026 than in 2025?
93
1.1kṀ6601
Dec 31
51%
chance

Going by this Link: https://mappingpoliceviolence.org

resolves YES if the total for 2026 is strictly larger than 2025's total

resolves 50% if the total for 2026 equals 2025's total

resolves NO if the total for 2026 is LESS than 2025's total

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62-year-old city police chiefs seeing this market

reposted

trend looks positive (would expect just from population growth) and 2025 seems a little low, so mean reversion + trends = >50%

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