How many people will ICE/CBP kill in 2026?
5
αΉ250αΉ1972027
10.7 people
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2%
1
7%
2 - 3
19%
4 - 5
21%
6 - 8
15%
9 - 11
9%
12 - 14
9%
15 - 17
8%
18 - 20
10%
Above 20
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
How many U.S. civilians will be killed by federal law enforcement agents in 2026?
786
Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
52% chance
Will police in the usa kill more people in 2026 than in 2025?
60% chance
Will a government agent kill another American citizen before February 28, 2026?
77% chance
ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?
66% chance
What is the largest number of people US federal law enforcement will kill in a single incident before January 20, 2029?
Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?
71% chance
Will the ICE deployment in Minnesota be substantially reduced by June 1, 2026?
77% chance
ICE spends at least $25.5 billion in 2025? (budget estimate: $30 billion)
86% chance
Will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50% in 2025?
96% chance
Sort by:
@MichaeldelaMaza my question is about intent.
I could interpret this as only applying to people intentionally killed by ice in the street or in pursuit. I could interpret this as the above and those intentionally killed in custody, or I could interpret it as all people who died while in custody or while interacting with ICE.
People are also trading
Related questions
How many U.S. civilians will be killed by federal law enforcement agents in 2026?
786
Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
52% chance
Will police in the usa kill more people in 2026 than in 2025?
60% chance
Will a government agent kill another American citizen before February 28, 2026?
77% chance
ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?
66% chance
What is the largest number of people US federal law enforcement will kill in a single incident before January 20, 2029?
Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?
71% chance
Will the ICE deployment in Minnesota be substantially reduced by June 1, 2026?
77% chance
ICE spends at least $25.5 billion in 2025? (budget estimate: $30 billion)
86% chance
Will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50% in 2025?
96% chance