What is the largest number of people US federal law enforcement will kill in a single incident before January 20, 2029?
3
Ṁ1kṀ2502029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
18%
1
21%
2
21%
3
40%
"Law enforcement" refers to operations taking place on US soil and excludes operations taking place abroad. A "single incident" must be localized in time and recognized as an individual incident by multiple mainstream news organizations.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
How many people will ICE/CBP kill in 2026?
10.7
Will a government agent kill another American citizen before February 28, 2026?
71% chance
How many U.S. civilians will be killed by federal law enforcement agents in 2026?
786
Will police in the usa kill more people in 2026 than in 2025?
60% chance
Will the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 20th 2029?
21% chance
How many days in 2026 will have no police related deaths in the USA?
Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US citizens be killed by US military members on US soil?
43% chance
Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US civilians be killed on US soil by enemy action?
35% chance
Will another police killing in the United States go seriously viral before 2030?
87% chance
When will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US?