How many U.S. civilians will be killed by federal law enforcement agents in 2026?
5
แน225แน4582027
786 people
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
7%
2 - 9
11%
10 - 49
44%
50 - 99
19%
100 - 499
12%
500 - 999
1.9%
1000 - 4999
3%
5000 - 9999
3%
10000+
Any law enforcement agency staffed within the federal government will count towards this market. The number will include the deaths of Renee Good and Alex Pretti.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
How many people will ICE/CBP kill in 2026?
10.7
Will a DHS agent die while on duty in Minneapolis before 2026-03-01?
21% chance
Will a government agent kill another American citizen before February 28, 2026?
71% chance
ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?
64% chance
Will police in the usa kill more people in 2026 than in 2025?
60% chance
How many days in 2026 will have no police related deaths in the USA?
Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US citizens be killed by US military members on US soil?
43% chance
What is the largest number of people US federal law enforcement will kill in a single incident before January 20, 2029?
Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US civilians be killed on US soil by enemy action?
35% chance
How many civilians will federal LEO or military shoot with lethal munitions in California in the next 12 months