Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the date on which shares of OpenAI (or its public parent entity) officially begin trading on a major public stock exchange (such as the NYSE or NASDAQ) following an initial public offering (IPO) or direct listing.
Source of Verification: Official exchange listings or major financial data feeds (e.g., Bloomberg, NYSE, or NASDAQ).
Trading Type: Pre-market trading, private secondary market transactions (such as employee tender offers), or the trading of derivatives/contracts prior to the official public listing do not trigger resolution. Only the official day of regular session public trading counts.
Alternative Listings: In the event OpenAI goes public via a merger with a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), the resolution date will be the first day the merged entity trades under its new ticker.
No IPO: If OpenAI is acquired, files for liquidation, or fails to go public by December 31, 2030, this market will resolve to N/A.
Background
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI announced that it had submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), taking its first formal step toward an IPO. While the filing enables regulatory feedback, the company has stated that it has "not decided on timing yet" and that an eventual debut "may be a while".
OpenAI is reportedly working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, with some sources anticipating a listing as early as late 2026 or 2027. The move follows a corporate restructuring aimed at converting OpenAI into a public benefit corporation and comes amid a broader wave of artificial intelligence firms, including rival Anthropic, preparing for public debuts.
This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
Resolution criteria
This market is of type DATE and will resolve to the date on which shares of OpenAI (or its public parent/successor entity) officially begin regular-session trading on a major public stock exchange (such as the NYSE or NASDAQ) following an initial public offering (IPO) or direct listing.
Source of Verification: Official exchange listings, the SEC EDGAR system, or major financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg or Yahoo Finance).
Trading Type: Only the first official day of regular-session public trading counts. Pre-market trading, private secondary market transactions (such as employee tender offers), or the trading of derivatives/contracts prior to the official public listing do not trigger resolution.
Alternative Listings: In the event OpenAI goes public via a merger with a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), the resolution date will be the first day the merged entity trades under its new ticker.
No IPO / Expiration: If OpenAI is acquired, files for liquidation, or fails to go public by December 31, 2030, this market will resolve to N/A.
Background
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI announced that it had submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), taking its first formal step toward an IPO. While the filing begins the regulatory feedback process, the company stated that it has "not decided on timing yet" and that an eventual public debut "may be a while".
OpenAI's filing followed a similar move by its primary rival, Anthropic, which submitted its own confidential S-1 on June 1, 2026. Both companies have recently commanded private valuations approaching or exceeding $1 trillion.
This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
1,000