Will the USA federal government announce charges/investigation/indictment against Elon Musk by the end of 2024?
Basic
15
๐•Š280
Jan 1
12%
chance

Resolves YES if before the end of 2024, a body of the usa federal government announces it is investigating or indicting Elon Musk

Resolves NO if they do not make such an official announcement

Will still resolve YES if the indictment comes after Jan 1st 2025, as long as an official source confirms it is going to happen.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
แน€1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

A VC fund that participated in the Twitter financing has sons of sanctioned Russian oligarchs as partners. https://www.dw.com/en/what-do-xs-alleged-ties-to-russian-oligarchs-mean-for-musk/a-70088598

bought แน€50 YES
reposted

upgraded + real money now!

severely underdefined

grand jury indictment takes a while

@nikki the intent was to cover the announcement that they're proceeding with action against him, in an official capacity. how would you define it? is there a step before indictment i can use

@strutheo see Karl's comment

@nikki well i'd be going off the public announcement. if they announce in march and we learn it was done in december then i wont count it.

@strutheo I've updated the title to reflect this and made it into sweepstakes

reposted

upgraded to basic

bought แน€50 YES

This might not be correctly resolvable for some time after December 31. Most agencies that conduct investigations of alleged or actual crimes do not do so in public; and might not present the results of investigations conducted this year until well after the end of this year.

@KarlK this is true, but I also want to see the FEC twitter quote-tweet Elon with just ๐Ÿ‘€

reposted

@strutheo Is it fair play to exchange money for petition signatures as direct as this is? Or am I misreading this?

i hv no clue , very sus though

@strutheo Agreed, albeit my only exposure to this is your screenshot.

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules