🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
62
Ṁ2kṀ14kDec 2
19%
18%
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
10%
UNRWA
9%
Pope Leo XIV
9%
Minnesota (or the People of Minnesota)
8%
MSF / Doctors without Borders
6%
Yulia Navalnaya
5%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
1.5%
Donald Trump
1.3%
International Court of Justice
1.3%
Narges Mohammadi
1.1%
Greta Thunberg
1.1%
Netanyahu
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will the Nobel Peace Prize Winner in 2026 hold political office at the time of the award?
22% chance
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Palestine conflict?
36% chance
Will nobelprize.org list someone besides Machado under 2025 Nobel Peace Prize by EOY?
2% chance
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
10% chance
What will be the next year the Nobel Peace Prize is not awarded?
Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?
8% chance
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?
3% chance
Sort by:
bought Ṁ3 YES
Reasoning behind Haitham bin Tariq Al Said: successful mediation leading to the end of US/Israel’s war on Iran
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Nobel Peace Prize Winner in 2026 hold political office at the time of the award?
22% chance
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Palestine conflict?
36% chance
Will nobelprize.org list someone besides Machado under 2025 Nobel Peace Prize by EOY?
2% chance
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
10% chance
What will be the next year the Nobel Peace Prize is not awarded?
Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?
8% chance
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?
3% chance