Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
10
237
1.5k
2030
61%
Salman Rushdie
59%
Daron Acemoglu
53%
David Deutsch
52%
Peter Zoller
52%
Gilles Brassard
50%
Can Xue
50%
Susumu Kitagawa
50%
Robert S Langer
50%
Krzysztof Matyjaszewski
50%
Jun Ye
49%
Peter Shor
48%
Charles Henry Bennett
47%
Olga Botner
43%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
36%
Chi-Huey Wong
35%
Omar Farha
35%
William Jorgesen
35%
Omar M. Yaghi
34%
Jean Fréchet
34%
Charles Leonard Bennett

Any laureate who wins a Nobel prize will resolve YES at the time of winning. The others will resolve NO by the market close. Only prizes received after 2023 (when this market opened) count.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ0 of Answer #224c885c4bdd YES

Hope we soon get a search field for those type of market

William Jorgesen

Meant Jorgensen, but there is probably no homonimy risks

Am I allowed to submit answers after they are already true?

@Joshua No. I will clarify in the description

I mean prizes after this market is created, but where no one submitted them as an answer before it became true. But also as I type this, I realize this is no different from just making my own "Is 1+1 = 2" market so it is a silly question.

@Joshua Yes, that is allowed. There's no "other" option anyways so that can compensate for that