Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1.7kṀ3.2k

2030

99%

Demis Hassabis

99%

Daron Acemoglu

47%

Jun Ye

44%

Peter Zoller

41%

Krzysztof Matyjaszewski

41%

Elizaveta 'Monetochka' Gyrdymova

41%

Ed Boyden

39%

Peter Shor

39%

Charles Henry Bennett

38%

David Deutsch

37%

Olga Botner

37%

Gilles Brassard

36%

Robert S Langer

36%

Chi-Huey Wong

35%

William Jorgesen

34%

Jean Fréchet

34%

Charles Leonard Bennett

33%

Can Xue

30%

Salman Rushdie

29%

Charles L. Brooks III

Any laureate who wins a Nobel prize will resolve YES at the time of winning. The others will resolve NO by the market close. Only prizes received after 2023 (when this market opened) count.

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@mods please resolve Yaghi and Kitagawa YES

@Shump please resolve Yaghi and Kitagawa YES

Yaghi and Kitagawa got the 2025 chemistry Nobel.

https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/chemistry/2025/press-release/

Hope we soon get a search field for those type of market

Meant Jorgensen, but there is probably no homonimy risks

Am I allowed to submit answers after they are already true?

@Joshua No. I will clarify in the description

I mean prizes after this market is created, but where no one submitted them as an answer before it became true. But also as I type this, I realize this is no different from just making my own "Is 1+1 = 2" market so it is a silly question.