MANIFOLD
⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (4 DONE)
22
Ṁ1kṀ1.9k
2027
76%
grok 5 releases
76%
100th spacex launch of the year
76%
Manifest 2026 happens
74%
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
73%
taylor swift married
66%
SpaceX IPOs
66%
twitter x mail releases
59%
Coyote vs Acme releases
52%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
50%
Imu face reveal in One Piece
50%
Twitter/x releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users
50%
alan greenspan passes away
50%
stripe ipo happens
49%
New record breaking price for a Magic the Gathering card ($3M)
40%
GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86
34%
2h0m0s marathon barrier officially broken
34%
Legally Blonde 3 release date announced
34%
israel opens an embassy in syria, OR announces it will
34%
windows 12 announcement is made
34%
discord IPOs

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

Market context
CoolFold
Grab Bag
Competition
What Will Happen Markets
2024
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:

@strutheo but it didn't release yet lol

@deagol unresolve mods pls

cc @mods

@deagol @strutheo now released so cancel that unresolve instruction?

https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2026/03/apple-introduces-iphone-17e/
and change to 3 done.

@ChristopherRandles or maybe "released" needs it to be available? i guess doesn't matter much either way

bought Ṁ21 YES

@strutheo would the 17e count? it's a new iPhone even if part of the existing 17 family.

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 95% order

@strutheo USA Government had a shutdown

bought Ṁ173 YES

@strutheo Nioh 3 released today
and US Government shutdown can both resolve

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy