⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (12 DONE)
35
Ṁ1kṀ5k2027
96%
Coyote vs Acme releases
96%
Lego releases a record breaking set with the most pieces (bigger than Lego Art World Map)
86%
100th spacex launch of the year
81%
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
56%
twitter x mail releases
56%
Chat GPT 6 releases
47%
grok 5 releases
31%
noam chomsky passes away
28%
GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86
28%
Legally Blonde 3 release date announced
24%
israel opens an embassy in syria, OR announces it will
24%
stripe ipo happens
23%
New record breaking price for a Magic the Gathering card ($3M)
19%
Next Game of Thrones novel release date announced (Winds of Winter)
19%
ukraine and russia announce a ceasefire
14%
Twitter gets a new CEO
13%
discord IPOs
11%
Any nuclear explosion happens (test, bomb, etc)
10%
trump is impeached by either house OR senate
9%
windows 12 announcement is made
The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will something happen in 2026?
87% chance
🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (30 DONE)
Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026?
3% chance
📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
What will happen this year 2026? ( Trump and USA related)
🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (12/100 DONE)
Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
Nothing Ever Happens 2026
82% chance
Which of these four events will happen first? #1
Which of these four events will happen first? #2
Sort by:
@deagol @strutheo now released so cancel that unresolve instruction?
https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2026/03/apple-introduces-iphone-17e/
and change to 3 done.
@ChristopherRandles or maybe "released" needs it to be available? i guess doesn't matter much either way
@strutheo would the 17e count? it's a new iPhone even if part of the existing 17 family.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will something happen in 2026?
87% chance
🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (30 DONE)
Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026?
3% chance
📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
What will happen this year 2026? ( Trump and USA related)
🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (12/100 DONE)
Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
Nothing Ever Happens 2026
82% chance
Which of these four events will happen first? #1
Which of these four events will happen first? #2