MANIFOLD
⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (0 DONE)
13
Ṁ1kṀ665
2027
76%
Manifest 2026 happens
66%
grok 5 releases
66%
100th spacex launch of the year
66%
twitter x mail releases
57%
taylor swift married
52%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
50%
Coyote vs Acme releases
50%
SpaceX IPOs
50%
USA Government has a shutdown
50%
Imu face reveal in One Piece
50%
Twitter/x releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users
50%
Nioh 3 releases
50%
GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86
50%
alan greenspan passes away
50%
stripe ipo happens
49%
New record breaking price for a Magic the Gathering card ($3M)
34%
grok 6 releases
34%
Next Game of Thrones novel release date announced (Winds of Winter)
34%
Any nuclear explosion happens (test, bomb, etc)
34%
ukraine and russia announce a ceasefire

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

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