MANIFOLD
⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (2 DONE)
19
Ṁ1kṀ1.4k
2027
76%
grok 5 releases
76%
100th spacex launch of the year
76%
Manifest 2026 happens
66%
SpaceX IPOs
66%
twitter x mail releases
59%
Coyote vs Acme releases
57%
taylor swift married
52%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
50%
Imu face reveal in One Piece
50%
Twitter/x releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users
50%
alan greenspan passes away
50%
stripe ipo happens
49%
New record breaking price for a Magic the Gathering card ($3M)
40%
GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86
34%
Lego releases a record breaking set with the most pieces (bigger than Lego Art World Map)
34%
2h0m0s marathon barrier officially broken
34%
Chat GPT 6 releases
34%
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
34%
Legally Blonde 3 release date announced
34%
trump removes a cabinet member

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ50 YES at 95% order

@strutheo USA Government had a shutdown

bought Ṁ173 YES

@strutheo Nioh 3 released today
and US Government shutdown can both resolve

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy