🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (0 DONE)
10
2.5kṀ14332027
6%
doomsday clock announcement made
11%
EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras
14%
Spacex launches 25th rocket of the year
15%
EOD Ides of March - Mar 15
18%
the first Lunar eclipse of the year
24%
someone reaches 100k traders on the creator leaderboard
24%
Last day of the NFL draft
28%
llama 5 release date
28%
First Nintendo direct of the year
29%
artemis II mission launches
30%
grok 5 release date
31%
Spacex launches 50th rocket of the year
34%
EOD Cinco De Mayo - May 5
34%
trump removes a cabinet member
34%
Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends
35%
the first Atlantic hurricane of the season
35%
the first Pacific hurricane of the season
36%
Taylor swift gets married
38%
Spacex launches 75th rocket of the year
41%
EOD Fourth of July - Jul 4
README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:
1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
2nd event: 2% (happens next)
...
100th event: 100% (happens latest)
Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.
Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 28" should be Nov 27 (the correct date for Thanksgiving Day in 2025).
Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "the first Solar eclipse of the year": annular eclipses do not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@strutheo Does annular count? (Seems like not many people will notice it Antarctica and just barely south eastern South Africa)
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