SpaceX IPO date June 11th or start of trading was 12th can resolve 20%
Manifest started 12th 2pm ish so after trading started and can resolve 21%

Can't see anything else unless Russia Ukraine ceasefire ~May 8/9 counts

@strutheo
Trump administration reclassifies cannabis as less dangerous

"The US Department of Justice has officially reclassified cannabis as less dangerous, marking a major shift in the country's drug policy.

Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche on Thursday changed the classifications of products containing marijuana that are covered by the Food and Drug Administration or that have received a state medical-marijuana licence. They will move from a Schedule I narcotic like heroin to a Schedule III drug - on par with Tylenol with codeine.

He also called a hearing to consider reclassifying all marijuana.

Marijuana remains illegal at the federal level. Despite the federal ban, most US states have legalised the medical or recreational use of marijuana, and many have shops where it can be purchased legally.

"The Department of Justice is delivering on President Trump's promise to expand Americans' access to medical treatment options," Blanche said in a statement announcing the change. "This rescheduling action allows for research on the safety and efficacy of this substance, ultimately providing patients with better care and doctors with more reliable information."

According to the announcement, Blanche also ordered that a hearing be held in June as part of a rule-making process to reclassify all marijuana more broadly."


To me, this seems like medicinal use has been reclassified but wider use is subject to at least a consultation period before any further changes made.

Is this question related to licenced medicinal use or is the wider recreational uses that have to be reclassified for this to be considered to have happened. "rescheduled as a drug" could be interpreted either way?

If medicinal rescheduling counts then it was ~23 April before 5 May and Drake album.

@ChristopherRandles seems like its in a transitional state of rescheduling, so idk if id count it as fully complete yet, maybe just NA

May 5 past
Drake released 3 albums on 15th May
So those 2 can resolve

Draft finished yesterday

50th rocket caunch of year today
https://x.com/SpaceX/status/2048427420366324024

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Falcon_9_and_Falcon_Heavy_launches#2026
not showing this last one as launched yet.

@strutheo Undersea cables reported cut around taiwan

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Cc56GhWWsw

https://www.google.com/search?q=openai+last+board+member+to+leave+2026&sca_esv=7aba92e595da3466&rlz=1C1VDKB_en-GBGB929GB929&sxsrf=ANbL-n57LPMDWARP--zDrW7x3jtkUAovog%3A1777051980875&fbs=ADc_l-aN0CWEZBOHjofHoaMMDiKp0UJuhqwKhR0QUhF54-6jIYFfWbU_Clyew-1Wh7zkL7EUcewkj-Y5mEXWvVf2-8S7Q9JzmuMHBTnAM1FBTEpBAA6ghZXslcE6dJxwMWTLgGoAr4vYGCqFp1bqwX9pdu1VtM8TVsK2QpWIASBYKEiS5XGwgKc6E7Dp3ilRZxQId1C2H3zqV-Yekj5Y5u09hyXTQo1fKw&aep=1&ntc=1&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjA3sTAgoeUAxVFWUEAHRIpKY8Q2J8OegQIERAI&biw=1216&bih=722&dpr=1.25&mstk=AUtExfCtzCZR_3QJhW4v3mJN3SXbmC4SBy9Ok2p6YZueLng-k5Kqj_s8URCtsIrAnFmAVObZZVxly8jOU60Cd-m3gfrB_q9NAaO6PxQ_TkAGeg2CnWJy87yQF9poxlUM2-a0Od9hXGtb_Us8aQ6YntE9sTGiXk3tv1UN1DQ5au5YnPGPZ_yAuqi0MEtEQffXArcjR7VllZeF-xQaDbdcWIxxxI_wlzZTrTeWdayqqMVAtXhnwzzeEvtVAEVVspp9nZ1MLuRzq85VR1FYz0TbSnUpBUZ051N2WrWZ443MQ6B7GbtdTjHy-K0FXnoVW-jObNIPFVx8I170gIWQpM8zapKf947NrUWF3yQbtmYTI1xMgqDyhAz7131Zm4J9pKh9C34hURQeILjKdhUFwGKz3ZoDo6EYuB-FSn00AA&csuir=1&mtid=2KnracGCJbiKhbIP0qGwuQI&udm=50

Key April 2026 Incidents

• Matsu Island Cable Damage: On March 30 or 31, 2026 (reported early April), an undersea cable near the

  Matsu Islands

  was partially damaged.

• Detention of Chinese Vessel: In a rare escalation, the Taiwan Coast Guard detained the captain of a Chinese salvage vessel, the Hi Hongong 66, on suspicion of causing the damage. The ship was reportedly in the area to rescue a stranded fishing boat when the incident occurred.

• Chinese "Cable Cutter" Test: On 16 April 2026, reports emerged that a Chinese research ship, the Haiyang Dizhi 2, successfully tested a new device capable of cutting cables at depths of 3,500 metres. This has heightened security fears in Taipei regarding intentional sabotage.

Is partially damaged sufficient for "reported cut" or not?

@strutheo
The FDA approved the Wegovy® pill (once-daily oral semaglutide 25 mg) for weight management on December 22, 2025.

So does

ozempic/wegovy/glp-1 pill approved by the fda
need to be replaced?

Or are subsequent ones qualifying?
e.g.
Foundayo™ (Eli Lilly - orforglipron): Approved April 1, 2026, as a once-daily oral GLP-1 for weight loss, noted for not requiring specific food or water restrictions before ingestion.

1 April might be before the last two resolved ones?

@strutheo
Recently released Muse Spark, originally code-named Avocado, does this count as Llama 5?
There may well be a Llama 5 later AFAIK.

@strutheo
I think you can resolve
Apple event at 8%
iphone release at 10% (9% already resolved)

@strutheo Wondering if you resolved the wrong one:.

iphone 17e not available until 11 March
but Apple event has occurred 4th March

Even if you are using announcement date rather than availability date for iphone the announcement was during apple event so apple event came first right?

@ChristopherRandles oops.. @mods fix pls

@strutheo unresolve the iPhone one?

@shankypanky I believe so yes

done

@shankypanky still showing as resolved to me. ?

@ChristopherRandles whoops, seems to have done it this time

@strutheo
Apple event 4th March 9:00am ET can resolve.

"trump removes a cabinet member"
Is this date leaves office (end of month) or date announced (5th March) or date of confirmation of successor or...?

Lunar eclipse totality has ended

@strutheo
does this count?
https://news.manifold.markets/p/announcing-mnx-the-ai-exchange
Feb 18th

SpaceX 25th launch was on Feb 27th

@strutheo
5% ? manifold launches real money trading Feb 18th
6% SpaceX 25th launch was on Feb 27th
7% new iphone releases (in the USA)
https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2026/03/apple-introduces-iphone-17e/

hmm new iphone 17e announced 2nd March but availability from 11 March. Which is the release date?

EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras has happened

@strutheo oh sorry does this 5 Feb count?
https://www.nintendo.com/en-gb/News/Nintendo-Direct/Latest-Nintendo-Direct/Nintendo-Direct-698557.html

https://www.nintendo.com/us/nintendo-direct/archive/?srsltid=AfmBOopTYPGez6Z0i0p1c_4jcrNpQ8ZdcbaSPP_RZ7wlLai1YN8iiAEU
I assumed Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream Direct 1.29.26

didn't count and I am not sure if there was previous discussion of 'partner showcase's.

@ChristopherRandles feb 5 count
@mods can you make nioh 3%

@strutheo do you mean Nintendo direct 2% which you could do and mods to adjust Nioh 3 to 3%?

@ChristopherRandles yes ty

@strutheo unresolved nioh 3