MANIFOLD
How many women will there be among the President and VP candidates of both major parties in 2028?
33
Ṁ1.1kṀ2.2k
2028
17%
0 women
43%
1 woman
37%
2 women
2%
3 women
0.4%
4 women

example: if the republicans run a woman president and man as vp nominee, and the democrats have a man president and a woman as vp nominee, this resolves to 2 women

example: if both parties run a woman for president and vp, this resolves to 4 women

only counting republican and democrat parties in the usa

  • Update 2026-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market counts only the 4 official nominees after the conventions (President and VP candidates for both Republican and Democratic parties). Primary candidates are not included in the count.

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is this the official nominee after conventions (population=4), or includes the primaries (population ~= 20)?

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 25% order

Cool question

bought Ṁ10 NO

subsidized

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