
🗓️2025 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (39 DONE)
44
10kṀ17k2026
40%
grok4 release date
40%
EOD Fourth of July - Jul 4
41%
the start of Amazon Prime Day(s) 2025
43%
Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape
45%
the first Atlantic hurricane of the season
45%
Killing Floor 3 releases on Steam
48%
the second Atlantic hurricane of the season
48%
Chat GPT 5 releases to the general userbase
50%
Skibidi Toilet ends their original series
50%
someone reaches 100k traders on creator leaderboard
50%
Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases
50%
Imu face reveal in One Piece manga
50%
Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)
50%
Skate 4 releases
51%
onepieceexplained reaches 15k subs on youtube
52%
the third Atlantic hurricane of the season
53%
trump removes a cabinet member
53%
windows 12 announcement is made
54%
Third dune movie officially announced
54%
Cy Young award winner announced
README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:
1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
2nd event: 2% (happens next)
...
100th event: 100% (happens latest)
Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.
Update 2025-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of ceasefire:
Any ceasefire qualifies, including those limited to infrastructure and energy.
This means no matter the focus, if a ceasefire is announced it is counted.
Update 2025-04-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Partial Release Inclusion:
For the event "Joseph Anderson releases long awaited Witcher 3 video," the release qualifies even if not all parts are released.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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