README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:
1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
2nd event: 2% (happens next)
...
100th event: 100% (happens latest)
Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.
Update 2025-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of ceasefire:
Any ceasefire qualifies, including those limited to infrastructure and energy.
This means no matter the focus, if a ceasefire is announced it is counted.
1,000@strutheo Nintendo Direct happened today: https://www.nintendo.com/us/nintendo-direct/3-27-2025/
@strutheo
Seems like Russia and Ukraine have both agreed and announced it.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/trump-hold-call-with-putin-test-deal-making-strength-2025-03-18/
Putin ordered the Russian military to stop attacks against energy sites after speaking with Trump, the Kremlin said.
...
Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said his country would support the proposal to stop strikes on energy facilities and infrastructure for 30 days.
@strutheo
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5y2nvezdnwo
Russia and Ukraine have agreed to a naval ceasefire in the Black Sea in separate deals with the US, after three days of peace talks in Saudi Arabia.
Washington said all parties would continue working toward a "durable and lasting peace" in statements announcing the agreements, which would reopen an important trade route.
Hmm Resolved tariff one but not the Mardi Gras one?
@strutheo
24 F9 launches with IM-2 launch a few minutes ago
1 (failed) starship launch
@strutheo
"reportedly start filming this summer ahead of a reported release date of December 2026."
Seems rather vague and not officially announced?
https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/films/news/dune-3-messiah-movie-release-date-b2701380.html
But if there is lots of information and timeline for filming and release, is there a risk that it is never officially announced? Guess there still has to be some official confirmation?
@ChristopherRandles oops yes... Sorry I was on mobile can you fix @mods . Also can we change it so I can unresolve stuff longer than an hour ago
@strutheo although Feb 13 passed it has definitely NOT been fat tuesday / mardi gras. Not sure which takes precedence
@strutheo https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgj20g19z2qo
When does 'mass' quantities start?
Also re
trump enacts new or changed tariffs on mexico
Does it have to be specifically on Mexico. i.e. Would increased steel/alunminium tariff on everywhere outside USA count?