Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? ๐Ÿช–๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
โž•
Plus
64
แน€5104
2030
93%
Croatia ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท
55%
Poland ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ
54%
Serbia ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ
52%
Romania ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด
51%
Kosovo ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‡ฐ
40%
North Macedonia ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ
38%
Germany ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
34%
Albania ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
32%
Bulgaria ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ
28%
Slovenia ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
28%
Montenegro ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช
27%
Hungary ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ
25%
Czechia ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ
24%
Slovakia ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ
21%
Bosnia and Herzegovina ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ
21%
Belgium ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช
20%
France ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท
19%
Italy ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
18%
Spain ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
17%
Netherlands ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

In light of increasing interstate conflicts in the 2020s, many European countries may reconsider their stance on conscription. Partial conscription, as seen in Sweden, could become more common across Europe. This market is based on official changes to conscription policy and laws, not necessarily on conscription being implemented on the ground. Therefore, as long as it is officially established, it counts.

Get
แน€1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Made a 2027 version of this market in case you are interested /Odoacre/which-countries-in-europe-will-swit

Poland 50/50 to re-establish conscription by 2030?!?! Why so high? I am tempted to buy tons of NO but I feel I may have incomplete information.

Germany ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช

Germany looks to Scandinavia for new conscription model

03/07/2024

https://www.dw.com/en/germany-looks-to-scandinavia-for-new-conscription-model/video-68468486

Slovenia ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ

I hope you find this market somewhat relevant

Bosnia and Herzegovina ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ

This option will resolve Yes if any of the entities of entities of Bosnia and Herzegovina introduces conscription, including the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as well as Republika Srpska.

reposted
Episode 9 GIF by South Park

Wait how does the US not have a conscription policy? The draft was never done away with it just hasn't been used since WW2. Sure its not a "standing draft" but every male is still required to sign up for it.

@DrEthan For the purposes of this poll, registration for a potential draft such as in the US Selective Service does not count.

@soweliSon well the poll is also limited to Europe, I just think it's funny that Statista doesn't include the US

Interestingly, the Republic of Ireland and Malta are the only two countries in Europe that never enforced a draft.

Kosovo ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‡ฐ

Kosovar Center for Security Studies (KCSS). "Is a compulsory military service feasible for Kosovo?" by Gramos Sejdiu. May 2023. https://qkss.org/images/uploads/files/Security_Brief_-_Mozi_4X_FINAL.pdf

Arb with this market:

bought แน€10 Answer #8da79a7b5649 NO

Turn on add more options to anyone ๐Ÿฅบ

@RanaG I have a particular colour scheme and text in mind. Don't worry, I'll add every country in Europe eventually....

bought แน€5 Poland ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ NO

Can you add Latvia?

@SaviorofPlant Done! ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป

@SaviorofPlant It seems like Latvia already established conscription on January 1st, 2024. Therefore, I am resolving it as N/A.

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules