Will the UK introduce mandatory conscription for any portion of its population before 2030?

Question

This resolves true if any policy of mandatory conscription, including to the reserves or mandatory training for civilians is introduced in the UK before 2030. Does not include past military service members, must be of the civilian population.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 16% chance (21 traders, as of Apr 1, 2026).