Will President Trump be defenestrated?
21
100Ṁ17842029
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any instance of falling out of a window is presumed defenestration
Resolves NO when he stops being president
Update 2025-03-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Magic: The Gathering Scenario Clarification:
Official Card Status: An official Magic: The Gathering card is not required.
Active Participation: President Trump must be personally playing Magic: The Gathering for the action to count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
How will Trump leave office?
Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?
2% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
20% chance
Conditional on Trump assuming the presidency in 2025, will he be ousted by a military coup?
5% chance
Will Donald Trump be the first US President to live in exile? [clarified, by 2030 Halloween]
16% chance
Will Trump be held under house arrest before he dies?
12% chance
Will Donald Trump be the first US President to live in exile?
11% chance
Will Trump have Cheney thrown out of a high window
1% chance
Will Trump die in prison?
4% chance
Will Trump be assassinated during his second term?
13% chance