Who will I vote for in the next British General Election?
2
175Ṁ300
2029
19%
Labour Party
6%
Conservative Party
35%
The Greens
19%
Liberal Democrats
12%
Your Party
2%
Reform UK
7%
Other

This market resolves based on which party I vote for in the 2029 British General Election. The election is scheduled to be held no later than Wednesday 15 August 2029. If I do not vote or are unable to vote, the market resolves N/A

I've just turned 17, and live in the UK, meaning the 2029 General Election will be the first general election where I am eligible to vote.

I will not bet on this market.

  • Update 2025-11-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the general election happens earlier than 2029, the market will resolve based on how the creator votes in that next general election (provided they have turned 18 by then).

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 NO

Would you share what constituency you're in? (No worries if not - aware it's potentially quite personal information.)

How do you feel about tactical voting in general?

If the election happens earlier than 2029, will you resolve this market according to how you vote in the next election, or will you cancel it?

@Fion

  1. I'll share that I live in Brighton and Hove (although I just moved here in August from elsewhere in the UK).

  2. I think it's a viable strategy, and am personally not inheriently against it. Without making my current voting-intentions fully transparent, I will say that there is a small possibility of me tactically voting Labour IF they make MAJOR policy changes in lead-up to the election, although as of this moment I do not see myself voting for Labour under Starmer. I do think that there is a high probability that Starmer gets replaced after the November Budget release, which would mean a new leader coming in with (hopefully) a new set of policies they stand for. While I'm going to avoid explicitly saying what issues I base my vote upon, I think that information is relatively discernable to make out if you've read the article.

  3. Ah, did not think of that when creating the market. I'm open to resolving based on the next general election if it were to happen earlier than 2029, provided of course that I turn 18 by then.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy