Resolves to YES if the market closes between 30% and 40%, inclusive of the lower bound but exlcusive of the higher bound (YES if 30<=x<40).
Closes August 3rd @ 11:59pm PST
The market:
https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
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🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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3 | Ṁ113 | |
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It currently would cost M4000 to get the main market to 40%. If doing so paid off, then a M1000 NO bet placed here - bidding it merely down to 50% - at the current price would give M4900 profit.
The main market is super liquid so one would make almost all of one's 4000 mana back selling the YES.
M5000 risked for nearly M5000 profit. A doubling.
I'm not saying I'm gonna do it. I'm just sayin'.
It's slipped below 30% and looks to be on a downward trend
Also the real money markets are sub-30
Related (currently both are at 80% !) https://manifold.markets/jamesoofou/will-the-roomtemperature-supercondu-01be810862b0