Will the main LK99 market ever reach 50% in 2024? | Manifold

Will the main LK99 market ever reach 50% in 2024?

LK-99•superconductivity•LK-99 Derivative Markets

10

43

Ṁ465

Ṁ210

Dec 31

8%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Midnight pst

>=50% starting from 2024 Jan 1

The related market: /QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre

Get Ṁ200 play money

Related in LK-99

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Conditional on LK-99 replicating, will a RTSC be used commercially by 2026?

See more LK-99 questions

Related in superconductivity

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Conditional on room temp superconductors by the end of the year, will we have commercial nuclear fusion by 2030?

See more superconductivity questions

Related in LK-99 Derivative Markets

Will the main LK-99 market resolve YES or NO (not NA)?

If people tried text-to-PDF and LLM reasoning with the LK-99 papers, do you think it would help it replicate?

See more LK-99 Derivative Markets questions

More related questions

Will the main LK99 market ever reach 25% in 2024?

Will the main LK99 market ever reach 99% EOY 2024

Will something distinct to LK-99 achieve greater virality on Manifolds Markets before 2025?

Will the main LK99 market ever reach 89% in 2024?

Will the [LK-99 room temp] market get over 10,000 total traders by the end of 2024?

Will the odds of this market be below 50% at the end of 2024?

Will this market > 50% by the EOY 2024?

LK-99 questions

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Conditional on LK-99 replicating, will a RTSC be used commercially by 2026?

superconductivity questions

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Conditional on room temp superconductors by the end of the year, will we have commercial nuclear fusion by 2030?

LK-99 Derivative Markets questions

Will the main LK-99 market resolve YES or NO (not NA)?

If people tried text-to-PDF and LLM reasoning with the LK-99 papers, do you think it would help it replicate?

Related questions

Will the main LK99 market ever reach 25% in 2024?

Will the [LK-99 room temp] market get over 10,000 total traders by the end of 2024?

Will the main LK99 market ever reach 99% EOY 2024

Will the odds of this market be below 50% at the end of 2024?

Will something distinct to LK-99 achieve greater virality on Manifolds Markets before 2025?

Will this market > 50% by the EOY 2024?

Will the main LK99 market ever reach 89% in 2024?