This market is a daily derivative market for the LK-99 market. It predicts whether the LK-99 market will stay at or below 4% for the day
Resolves Yes if there are over 20000Mana of 4% NO-limit-orders on the market that stayed up for over 6 hours in the day (ET time)
(this rule is to prevent sniping from easily manipulating market price)
To make it clear, as long as the 1%,2%,3%,4% no limit orders sum to over 20000 Mana, this market resolves Yes.
If you have evidence on the market's no limit order, please post it to the comment. If nothing was being posted to the comment before the day is over, I will use my judgement to resolve the market. No dispute on resolution after a market is resolved.
Related questions
@JureSmolar I know. Maybe I'm getting old and people didn't watch the same cartoons as I did. Anyway the same person is betting YES on LK-99 as who always bets YES on LK-99.
@chrisjbillington Ahh that’s how you meant it. I’m a 2000 kid so I only vaguely remember that evil genius mouse dude 😅
@JureSmolar oops... didnt read your comment before resolving Apr 4. I've asked for mod help in unresolving this
@AmmonLam I trust it will be resolved well. Attached is the status for today; Chris' orders have now stayed up for 6 hours, all falling within Apr 5 in ET, which should thus resolve YES.
Just so I understand correctly, as long as e.g. Jason holds at least one of his 33,333 no bets this would resolve as yes at least until he sells? Or does the market also need to be 3% or less? The title uses strict inequality (will [...] be below?) while the description is ambiguous in the sense that "will stay at or below" can mean either: resolves yes if it's either, or that it disambiguates between the two, i.e. no if it stays at, yes if it goes below.
To make the example even more extreme, if I put in a no limit 20000M bet, and the market rose to, say, 6%, would this still resolve yes as long as I don't sell?
@JureSmolar
"Resolves Yes if there are over 20000Mana of 4% no limit orders on the market that stayed up for over 6 hours in the day (ET time)"
@AmmonLam ah, I was reading “no limit order” as non-limit order, but you mean a limit order of NO. All clear now.
@JureSmolar for example, Apr 3 resolves Yes since the 20000Mana of 4% NO-limit-orders stayed up for 6 hours already