Will GPT-5 have an estimated IQ higher than 101?
8
34
200
Dec 31
79%
chance

Maxim Lott's analysis, when Claude 3 was released, is the basis for this question. A similar analysis will likely be published when GPT-5 is released, and that will be the basis for resolving this prediction.

https://www.maximumtruth.org/p/ais-ranked-by-iq-ai-passes-100-iq

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You need to specify the measurement instrument

@PhilosophyBear my question was based on this article from Maxim Lott (https://www.maximumtruth.org/p/ais-ranked-by-iq-ai-passes-100-iq)

If you have a measurement instrument in mind, please suggest -- otherwise, I would use a similar analysis to this once it is released (which will surely be done for GPT-5).

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@RohanVisuvasam If it's fixed to Maxim's analysis that works for me