Will GPT-5 have a perfect SAT score in either section?

119

1kṀ17k

2028

90%

chance

ALL

Either section

Get

1,000

to start trading!

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GPT-5 score on Aider polyglot?

87.4

GPT-5 Score on BrowseComp?

49.4

Will GPT-5 ace exams?

76% chance

GPT-5: 140+ on AMC

51% chance

Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

89% chance

Will GPT-4.5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

65% chance

Will GPT-5 have an estimated IQ higher than 101?

80% chance

GPT-5 score on GPQA Diamond?

87.5

Will GPT-5 be capable of achieving superhuman performance in at least one exam that is typically taken by humans?

91% chance

Will GPT-5 have a rating of at least 2000 in chess?

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What if OpenAI changes its naming scheme and the next frontier LLM is not released as 'GPT-5'? How would this market resolve in that case?

uhhh the “either section” qualifier needs to be in the title

@Ophiuchus fixed

Does perfect mean getting 0 questions wrong, or getting a 1600?

@ShadowyZephyr I'm pretty confident the score is meant, not getting 0 questions wrong.

People are also trading

GPT-5 score on Aider polyglot?

87.4

GPT-5 Score on BrowseComp?

49.4

Will GPT-5 ace exams?

76% chance

GPT-5: 140+ on AMC

-5% 1d51% chance

Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

89% chance

Will GPT-4.5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

65% chance

Will GPT-5 have an estimated IQ higher than 101?

80% chance

GPT-5 score on GPQA Diamond?

87.5

Will GPT-5 be capable of achieving superhuman performance in at least one exam that is typically taken by humans?

91% chance

Will GPT-5 have a rating of at least 2000 in chess?

38% chance

People are also trading

People are also trading

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