MANIFOLD
Safe to travel to Iran by EOY 2032?
2
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k
2032
50%
chance

If at any point before EOY 2032, Canada marks Iran as yellow level or lower on their travel advisory list (https://travel.gc.ca/travelling/advisories), this resolves YES. Resolves NO otherwise.

Any part of 2025 Iran being yellow or lower counts, except if that part is controlled by another sovereign nation (not Iran) that either existed in 2025 or has the majority of its territory outside the 2025 borders of Iran.

If the travel advisory scale changes, any level for which one should not avoid non-essential travel counts as yellow or safer.

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