Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?
31
1kṀ11792029
22%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As classified by their polity score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
18% chance
Will Iran’s current government be overthrown, removed, or collapse before January 2026?
15% chance
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
42% chance
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
53% chance
State of Iran in 2030
Will Israel be a democracy in 2030?
88% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
33% chance
Iran a liberal democracy in 2032, conditional on regime change in 2025 or 2026?
39% chance
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
69% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
26% chance