Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Starmer out before November?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ50
Oct 31
69%
chance

Resolution criteria

This is an independent multiple-choice market. Each option will resolve to YES if Donald Trump publicly mentions the specific phrase or its designated variations between June 2, 2026, and December 31, 2026, and NO otherwise.

A "mention" is defined as Donald Trump explicitly speaking, writing, or publishing the term in:

  • Public speeches, press conferences, or interviews as transcribed in speaker-tagged databases such as Factbase or Senate Democrats' Newsroom Trump Transcripts.

  • Official social media accounts (Truth Social @realDonaldTrump or Twitter/X @realDonaldTrump).

  • Signed White House executive orders, official press releases, or policy declarations issued under his name.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!