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MANIFOLD
Which prediction market events will I attend/speak at in 2026? (Read desc)
8
Ṁ225Ṁ775
Dec 31
8%
NEXTPredict (October, NYC)
8%
Prediction Market Conference (November, Las Vegas)
95%
Predict2026 (December, New York)
51%
A Manifold-sponsored meetup that’s not Manifest
72%
(Another) Gondor NYC meetup.
41%
PREDICT (October, NYC)

Each option resolves 50% if I attend or YES if I speak.

Context dump:

I am Eli Goldfine/@realTomBayes on X

I already have Manifest tickets

I am based in NYC

Predict2026 has offered to cover my travel expenses if I agree to moderate a panel, others are in the works

For meetups or casual events, the market can resolve YES if I attend and don’t speak.

Market context
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