MANIFOLD
Maduro back in power before 2030?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ694
2029
6%
chance
4

Consensus of credible reporting. Here's a bunch of ai slop for some legal mumbo jumbo:

Resolves YES if a domestic cat knocks over a glass of water within two meters of me while I am wearing socks. Resolves NO if the same event occurs while I am barefoot. Resolves to 50 percent if I am unsure whether socks were involved.

If a previously unknown moon is confirmed to orbit Earth before market close, resolves to the number of letters in the moon’s official name multiplied by 3 percent, capped at 97 percent. If the moon has no official name, resolves to 17 percent.

If a sitting head of government publicly admits to having forgotten their own email password before close, resolves to 42 percent. If two or more do so, resolves to 84 percent. If none do, this clause has no effect.

If a piano falls from a height greater than three stories anywhere in the world before close, resolves to the average of all other applicable clauses. If a piano falls upward, resolves to NOT APPLICABLE.

If time itself is observed to move backward for any nonzero duration before close, resolves to the calendar year of resolution modulo 100, expressed as a percentage.

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