If the U.S. invades Iran by EOM, will Khamenei be dead by EOY? | Manifold

If the U.S. invades Iran by EOM, will Khamenei be dead by EOY?

4

100Ṁ95

Jan 31

58%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Self-explanatory. CCR.

Market context

Israel-Iran Conflict

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?

Will Ali Khamenei be out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30, 2026?

Will they pull a Nasrallah on Khamenei by end of January 2026?

-3% 1d17% chance

US ground invasion of Iran before the end of 2026?

If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?

-4% 1d41% chance

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Related questions

100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?

Will Ali Khamenei be out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30, 2026?

Will they pull a Nasrallah on Khamenei by end of January 2026?

US ground invasion of Iran before the end of 2026?

If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy