Resolves YES if Iran and Oman jointly announce, adopt, or sign a permanent framework for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by 11:59 PM UTC on October 31, 2026. Otherwise resolves NO.
A temporary route, an agreement merely to continue talks, or a unilateral proposal does not count.
Source: Associated Press. The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
Related markets from today's news
Will the U.S. publish the text of its Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Will Congress pass a resolution rejecting the U.S.–Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Will the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Will Armenia formally apply for EU membership by December 31, 2026?
Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31?
Will UNICEF's 2026 Afghanistan appeal finish at least 50% funded?
Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1?
Will SpaceX launch a rocket from Louisiana by December 31, 2028?