Yes if the Coinbase BTC-USD 1-minute candle low is ≤ $60,000 any time between (Jan 1, 2026 00:00 PT) through Dec 31, 2026 23:59 PT; otherwise No.
Source: Coinbase (BTC-USD).
Primary source (API) Example:
Required URL parameters:
start — ISO8601 UTC start time (e.g., 2026-02-05T22:00:00Z)
end — ISO8601 UTC end time (e.g., 2026-02-06T02:00:00Z)
granularity — seconds per candle (e.g., 60 for 1-minute bars)
Response:
[ time, low, high, open, close, volume ]
curl -X GET "https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60"
Resolution: Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 PT, or earlier upon trigger.
Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that rounding will be applied to the Coinbase API data. A price that rounds to $60,000.01 (such as $60,000.005) does not trigger resolution to YES, as it is above the $60,000.00 threshold when rounded.
1,000People are also trading
@predyx_markets Please see clarification on this markets page: https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/bitcoin-price-in-2026#2vhq7h55m7s
curl https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/historic\?period\=day | grep 60000
The Lowest was at {"price":"60000.005","time":"1770336900"} which rounds to "60000.01"
@predyx_markets @brod I also saw it on TradingView but now it’s 60,001, maybe a glitch trade got removed?
@predyx_markets We have the same market at PREDYX: https://beta.predyx.com/market/bitcoin-below-60k-in-2026-1770257578
@predyx_markets @deagol check my comment in the other thread, it's a very interesting edge case. I left more details there