MANIFOLD
Bitcoin price in 2026?
57
Ṁ8.4kṀ28k
2027
46%
$100K
38%
$105K
32%
$110K
27%
$115K
23%
$120K
20%
$125K
17%
$130K
14%
$135K
12%
$140K
10%
$145K
8%
$150K
9%
$30K
16%
$35K
28%
$40K
40%
$45K
53%
$50K
66%
$55K
80%
$60K
Resolved
YES
$65K
Resolved
YES
$70K

The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds/below listed price in USD at any point in 2026, based on data from Coinbase. The price must be reflected as the high/low price in any 1-minute candlestick during the year. If Bitcoin does not hit listed price during 2026, the market resolves “No.”

Primary source (API) Example:

https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60

Required URL parameters:

  • start — ISO8601 UTC start time (e.g., 2026-02-05T22:00:00Z)

  • end — ISO8601 UTC end time (e.g., 2026-02-06T02:00:00Z)

  • granularity — seconds per candle (e.g., 60 for 1-minute bars)

Response:

[ time, low, high, open, close, volume ]

curl -X GET "https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60"

Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2025, at 23:59 PT, or earlier if Bitcoin crosses listed price at any time during the month.

  • Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Data Source Specification: The creator will use the Coinbase API (https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/historic) as the authoritative data source for determining exact Bitcoin prices, rather than relying on visual charts or rounded displays on Coinbase's website interface.

  • Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): API Data Takes Precedence Over All Other Sources: The creator will strictly rely on the Coinbase API for price resolutions, even when other data sources (including Coinbase's own website interface, advanced trader charts, or TradingView) show different values. In cases where the API shows a rounded price (e.g., 60000.005 rounds to 60000.01), the market will resolve based on the API's reported value, not the exact threshold price.

  • Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Specific API Endpoint for 1-Minute Candle Data: The creator will use the Coinbase Exchange API endpoint https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles with granularity=60 (1-minute candles) to determine the exact high/low prices for resolution, rather than other Coinbase API endpoints or data sources.

Market context
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bought Ṁ1,650 YES

@predyx_markets we did 60k 😯

@Cactus not yet

@predyx_markets "high/low price in any 1-minute candlestick during the year", the low price of the minute candle was indeed 60000.00

@Cactus No sir - not on Coinbase. It was 60.001. Please supply your proof

@predyx_markets I attached a screenshot from coinbase.com/price/bitcoin

@Cactus I will let @deagol decide.

Can you please give me hour, minute. I still see it as 60.001

@Cactus Your screenshot is from 4:19 PT, here what I have from 4:19PT 60,200.51

I don't know what kind of chart you're looking at. Go to advanced trader mode and you can see it minute by minute.

@predyx_markets 4:14 and 4:16 PT was the lowest at 60,001.

sold Ṁ284 YES

@predyx_markets I am looking at the website link provided on the desktop UI

@Cactus Thats not accurate data. They sometimes round it.

Maybe you're right - thats why I said let's wait for @deagol to verify. He knows how to get the most accurate data.

@predyx_markets I also saw the exact 60,000.00 on Coinbase at TradingView (as I believe @brod did as well), then went to take the screenshot from Coinbase advanced interface and could only see 60,001. So went back to TradingView and now it shows 60,001 as the day’s low. They must have removed some glitch trade or whatever. 🤷‍♂️

@deagol I called the API. Please see the details below:

{"price":"60000.005","time":"1770336900"} = "60000.01"

You can run this on any command line:

curl https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/historic\?period\=day | grep 60000

@predyx_markets @deagol this is a very interesting edge case, as the API reports the midpoint price of bid/ask (coinbase only allows trading in increments of $0.01). However if the midpoint was 60000.005 then it is likely that someone did fill at 60000, however it is only reflected on some sources. The .com website and also tradingview btcusd coinbase data show 60000.00 while the coinbase advanced trade chart does not

My suggestion would be to resolve both markets to the current prices (91 here, 94 there) and start new markets with a clarification. But up to you. This is not a straightforward situation

@Cactus Sorry I can't. Feel free to leave me a bad review. If I resolve here, then I'll have to resolve at PREDYX market where there is real money involved. My traders will kill me (metaphorically) if I resolve it to YES. We strictly rely on API for price resolutions.

@predyx_markets Exact command to get 1-minute candle stick between 2:00PM PT to 6:00PM PT on Feb 5th is:

curl -X GET "https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60"

The lowest it shows is: 60001

[1770337200, 60060, 60434, 60142.11, 60206.81, ...]

[1770337260, 60162.61, 60766.15, 60206.76, 60635.76, ...]

[1770336900, 60001, 60567.84, 60147.53, 60381.6, ...]

[1770336840, 60001, 60656.26, 60656.26, 60151.09, ...]

@predyx_markets should say K?

@Jack1 Edited

@predyx_markets Can resolve $70k and $65k

@predyx_markets can you edit the double $$ in this and the other 110k answer so the A-Z sorting works correctly? thanks!

@deagol Thanks for he correction. Edited.

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