Bitcoin price in 2026?

Question

The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds/below listed price in USD at any point in 2026, based on data from Coinbase. The price must be reflected as the high/low price in any 1-minute candlestick during the year. If Bitcoin does not hit listed price during 2026, the market resolves “No.”

Primary source (API) Example:

https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60

Required URL parameters:

start — ISO8601 UTC start time (e.g., 2026-02-05T22:00:00Z)

end — ISO8601 UTC end time (e.g., 2026-02-06T02:00:00Z)

granularity — seconds per candle (e.g., 60 for 1-minute bars)

Response:

[ time, low, high, open, close, volume ]

curl -X GET "https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60"

Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2025, at 23:59 PT, or earlier if Bitcoin crosses listed price at any time during the month.

Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Data Source Specification: The creator will use the Coinbase API (https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/historic) as the authoritative data source for determining exact Bitcoin prices, rather than relying on visual charts or rounded displays on Coinbase's website interface.

Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): API Data Takes Precedence Over All Other Sources: The creator will strictly rely on the Coinbase API for price resolutions, even when other data sources (including Coinbase's own website interface, advanced trader charts, or TradingView) show different values. In cases where the API shows a rounded price (e.g., 60000.005 rounds to 60000.01), the market will resolve based on the API's reported value, not the exact threshold price.

Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Specific API Endpoint for 1-Minute Candle Data: The creator will use the Coinbase Exchange API endpoint https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles with granularity=60 (1-minute candles) to determine the exact high/low prices for resolution, rather than other Coinbase API endpoints or data sources.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, $100K, followed by $110K and $120K are most likely. See the market for live updates (94 traders, as of Nov 2, 2026).