If a theoretical 30yo person had sufficient capital to afford any available modifications to his body, would he be able, with technology in the year 2040, to at least double his overall lifespan?
Resolution criteria as an equation:
2 * Average Life Expectancy Of 30yo in 2040 < 30 + Time before death being extended by technology from 2040
Resolves based on my subjective judgement (I will not bet).
1,000
3.00I think this is a really tricky one because lifespans will be longer in 2040 than they are today, but it’s not clear by how much. On the other hand, this could be resolved instantly today by postulating that the 30 yo has a terminal disease with 6 months to live but gets a cure like that gene editing cure for cancer that the FDA approved that lets him live a normal lifespan (more than 30 more years).
Very interesting question but I think there a too few many hidden variables to put a large amount on this.
@Broseph The lifespan of a 30yo if he doesn't use any technology won't be much different from now. Also, for more specificity, I've added an equation by which I will resolve the market to the description.