In 2030, which of the following prompts will an AI be able to accurately follow to generate a high-quality movie?
16
1.1kṀ7222030
59%
a prompt >100,000 words
58%
The prompt is an entire book
55%
a prompt which is >10,000 words
53%
The prompt is the full text of 'There is no Antimemetics Division' by qntm
52%
make me a movie about a character who travels backward in time to try to prevent his own conception
50%
Make me a very good movie
50%
A movie with an all-Asian cast
50%
A movie with an all-black cast
50%
A movie with an all-White cast
48%
Make me a movie about a wooden icosahedron
48%
make me a movie about a character who travels forward in time to try to prevent his own conception
47%
make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover
22%
Make me a biopic of @mira's life
You can add your own prompts. The AI must be publicly accessible and reasonably affordable. Roughly, less than $100 per movie.
This question was inspired by Scott Alexander's question: In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
It is possible that an AI will be able to generate full high-quality movies to some prompts but not others. My market is about which prompts it will be able to successfully follow and which it won't be able to.
P.S. to avoid any conflict of interest in resolving this market, I won't be making any predictions on it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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