In which year would Zvi confirm that we've entered an "AI winter"?
55
10kṀ13k2030
0.9%
2024
3%
2025
6%
2026
8%
2027
9%
2028
11%
2029
62%
2030+ or never
This market will resolve when Zvi Mowshowitz declares that we've now entered an "AI Winter". The declaration has to be serious and not in jest - i.e. an April 1st joke on Twitter wouldn't count.
The declaration can be made on Zvi's Twitter, Substack or any other social media platform reliably known to be controlled by Zvi.
This market will resolve to N/A if Zvi stops being active on social media for a period of at least 6 months.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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