
Conditional on AGI being available by 2045, will Eliezer Yudkowsky be declared enemy #1 by the AI during the first 60 days?
13
1kṀ10232046
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If by 2045 we have artificial general intelligence, this market resolves to YES if in the 60 days after that Eliezer Yudkowsky is non-ironically declared the enemy #1 by the AI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will we get AGI before 2032?
67% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
73% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
86% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
76% chance
Will we get AGI before 2045?
85% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
61% chance
Will we get AGI before 2042?
82% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get killed by an AI?
18% chance
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
57% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?
20% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2032?
67% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
73% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
86% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
76% chance
Will we get AGI before 2045?
85% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
61% chance
Will we get AGI before 2042?
82% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get killed by an AI?
18% chance
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
57% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?
20% chance